Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -163 CSUF +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -10.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -7.5 (-2.5) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -5.5 (-0.5) | 141.0 (+6.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -7.9 (-2.9) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -7.7 (-2.7) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#152) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#122) | 0.24 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#140) | -0.18 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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