Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MSM +124 SIE -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +17 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -4.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.3 (-13.7) | 134.0 (-17.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.9 (-14.1) | 133.7 (-16.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.5 (-13.5) | 134.0 (-17.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.9 (-13.1) | 135.0 (-18.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SIE 63 – 58 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIE 82 – 68 MSM |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSM 68 – 61 SIE |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MSM 80 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#309) | -1.6 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#283) | -0.30 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#291) | -0.45 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#277) | 0.480 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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