Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | MSM -420 SIE +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +32 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -19.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -12.3 (+19.7) | 132.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -12.1 (+19.9) | 133.0 (-5.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -12.5 (+19.5) | 131.5 (-3.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -10.2 (+21.8) | 130.9 (-2.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SIE 63 – 58 MSM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SIE 67 – 50 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIE 82 – 68 MSM |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSM 68 – 61 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-5 | 2-12 |
| Away | 5-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#270) | -19.3 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#339) | -2.66 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#326) | -4.18 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.320 (#359) | 0.296 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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