Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +280 MSM -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -10.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -9.2 (+2.2) | 134.6 (-5.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -7.3 (+0.3) | 132.8 (-3.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -9.1 (+2.1) | 133.6 (-4.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -8.3 (+1.3) | 133.9 (-4.9) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SIE 63 – 58 MSM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SIE 67 – 50 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIE 82 – 68 MSM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MSM 80 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 2-12 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#359) | -3.2 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#345) | -1.60 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#346) | -1.65 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#332) | 0.421 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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