Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -155 MSM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -5.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.7 (+1.3) | 130.7 (-9.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.8 (+2.2) | 130.8 (-9.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.0 (+2.0) | 130.7 (-9.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.1 (+1.9) | 130.4 (-9.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | SIE 67 – 50 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIE 82 – 68 MSM |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSM 68 – 61 SIE |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MSM 80 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | -7.8 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#198) | -0.89 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#203) | -1.25 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#174) | 0.477 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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