Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -155 MSM +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -4.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.1 (+10.9) | 140.8 (+9.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.4 (+10.6) | 139.5 (+10.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.4 (+10.6) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.6 (+10.4) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SIE 63 – 58 MSM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SIE 67 – 50 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSM 68 – 61 SIE |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MSM 80 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#248) | -6.4 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#229) | -0.07 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#223) | -0.56 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#231) | 0.506 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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