Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -245 MRMK +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -9.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -5.2 (-9.2) | 133.7 (-11.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.1 (-9.1) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.0 (-9.0) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -5.0 (-9.0) | 134.3 (-12.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | SIE 64 – 54 MRMK |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MRMK 79 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRMK 64 – 58 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#180) | -6.3 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#180) | -0.15 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#189) | -0.39 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.478 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 58.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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