Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Merrimack Warriors
64 58
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Hammel Court · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -6.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money MRMK -290 / SIE +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual MRMK +6 122 Won
Massey MRMK -6.5 (-0.5)
Massey Totals 129.8 (-7.8)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML MRMK -4.9 (+1.1) 132.3 (-10.3) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML MRMK -3.9 (+2.1) 133.0 (-11.0) 69%
Baseline ML MRMK -4.2 (+1.8) 134.2 (-12.2) 67%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -4.2 (+1.8) 134.1 (-12.1) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 SIE 6454 MRMK
Feb 21, 2026 MRMK 7972 SIE
Jan 10, 2026 MRMK 6359 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK SIE
Overall 18-15 14-18
Conference 14-6 9-11
Home 8-5 9-5
Away 9-8 4-10
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 65.6 72.2
Avg Pts Against 64.2 72.1
Massey -2.2 (#203) -5.0 (#254)
Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#179) -0.55 (#223)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.15 (#180) -0.64 (#215)
RPI 0.516 (#149) 0.471 (#222)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK SIE
FG% 42.6% 42.1%
3PT% 34.2% 33.8%
REB / G 28.3 31.4
OREB / G 6.8 10.1
AST / TO 1.15 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 49.0%
TOV% 15.5% 18.6%
ORB% 20.5% 29.5%
FT Rate 18.6% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 18.9%
DRB% 61.5% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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