Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -142 SIE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -3.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.6 (+3.4) | 130.7 (+20.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -3.1 (+3.9) | 130.1 (+20.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -3.6 (+3.4) | 130.2 (+20.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.4 (+3.6) | 131.3 (+19.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | SIE 64 – 54 MRMK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MRMK 63 – 59 SIE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRMK 64 – 58 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#190) | -1.7 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#134) | -0.21 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#141) | -0.35 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#76) | 0.509 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 59.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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