Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -1600 WSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -17.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -14.2 (-8.2) | 136.4 (+33.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -14.8 (-8.8) | 140.4 (+29.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -15.0 (-9.0) | 141.2 (+28.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -15.6 (-9.6) | 140.0 (+30.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SMC 83 – 67 WSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SMC 77 – 56 WSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SMC 80 – 75 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-6 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#35) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#25) | 0.11 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.28 (#21) | 0.26 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#14) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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