Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WSU +210 SMC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -4.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -3.8 (-1.2) | 143.7 (+11.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -4.3 (-0.7) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -3.8 (-1.2) | 142.5 (+12.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -6.8 (+1.8) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SMC 83 – 67 WSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SMC 88 – 82 WSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SMC 77 – 56 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 17-1 |
| Home | 10-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 61.8 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#89) | 14.6 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#66) | 2.27 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#63) | 3.13 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#63) | 0.601 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 41.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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