Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SMC -2000 WSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +21 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -14.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -13.8 (+7.2) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -12.7 (+8.3) | 136.6 (-3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -12.6 (+8.4) | 138.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -14.7 (+6.3) | 136.6 (-3.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SMC 83 – 67 WSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SMC 88 – 82 WSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SMC 80 – 75 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#28) | 4.9 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#30) | 1.04 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#23) | 1.57 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#15) | 0.551 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 39.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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