Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +185 NORF -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -5.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.0 (+5.0) | 130.7 (-0.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -5.2 (+3.2) | 126.3 (+3.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -4.1 (+2.1) | 127.7 (+2.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -3.3 (+1.3) | 130.7 (-0.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NORF 65 – 64 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#356) | -7.5 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#340) | -1.97 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#340) | -2.88 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#343) | 0.405 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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