Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +110 NORF -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -0.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -0.6 (+14.6) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -0.6 (+14.6) | 140.2 (+15.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -0.3 (+14.3) | 140.0 (+16.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -0.3 (+14.3) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NORF 65 – 64 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 7-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#306) | -4.3 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#311) | -0.07 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#300) | -0.29 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#315) | 0.502 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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