Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -450 DSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +1 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -9.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.1 (-7.1) | 133.4 (-4.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -8.7 (-7.7) | 133.0 (-4.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -7.7 (-6.7) | 134.1 (-5.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.5 (-6.5) | 134.2 (-5.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| Home | 15-0 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#220) | -9.3 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#176) | -1.49 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#187) | -1.58 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#213) | 0.409 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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