Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -520 DSU +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +17 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -11.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.7 (+8.3) | 134.7 (-1.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -9.8 (+7.2) | 131.9 (+1.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -9.4 (+7.6) | 134.7 (-1.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -9.0 (+8.0) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NORF 65 – 64 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#308) | -18.1 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#324) | -3.30 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#329) | -4.14 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#325) | 0.354 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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