Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -400 DSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +12 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -10.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -9.3 (+2.7) | 148.7 (+31.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -8.7 (+3.3) | 148.6 (+31.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -9.4 (+2.6) | 146.9 (+33.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -9.0 (+3.0) | 149.3 (+30.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NORF 65 – 64 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#162) | -7.7 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -1.06 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#160) | -1.72 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.448 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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