Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +240 NORF -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -6.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -6.2 (-2.8) | 143.8 (-6.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -5.1 (-3.9) | 142.4 (-5.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -5.5 (-3.5) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -6.0 (-3.0) | 142.7 (-5.7) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NORF 65 – 64 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#300) | 2.1 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#268) | 0.63 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#283) | 0.58 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#288) | 0.529 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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