Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN +275 YALE -345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -11.5 (+27.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.7 (+26.7) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.2 (+27.2) | 140.2 (-4.2) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -10.7 (+26.7) | 140.1 (-4.1) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.9 (+27.9) | 139.3 (-3.3) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRIN 73 – 62 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#269) | 8.4 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#279) | 2.23 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#268) | 2.65 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#296) | 0.600 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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