Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -213 YALE +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.9 (+6.1) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.7 (+5.3) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -5.4 (+5.6) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.6 (+5.4) | 138.7 (-3.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 11-3 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#68) | 6.8 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#27) | 1.59 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#36) | 1.88 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#23) | 0.605 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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