Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -1350 PRIN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +25 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -15.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -13.9 (+11.1) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -13.1 (+11.9) | 137.2 (-6.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -13.4 (+11.6) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -13.9 (+11.1) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRIN 73 – 62 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#81) | -4.9 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#69) | -1.30 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#79) | -1.41 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#24) | 0.451 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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