Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -300 PRIN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -11.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.5 (+15.5) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.4 (+16.6) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.7 (+15.3) | 145.0 (-4.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -10.5 (+16.5) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRIN 73 – 62 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#65) | 0.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#90) | 0.61 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#86) | 0.23 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#48) | 0.545 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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