Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -380 PRIN +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +2 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -10.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -8.4 (-6.4) | 145.9 (-29.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -6.9 (-4.9) | 143.3 (-27.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -7.9 (-5.9) | 145.5 (-29.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -8.2 (-6.2) | 146.4 (-30.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRIN 73 – 62 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#67) | -1.5 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#87) | 0.45 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#86) | 0.01 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#41) | 0.545 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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