Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN +110 YALE -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -4.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -3.2 (-3.8) | 148.4 (-1.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -1.8 (-5.2) | 145.8 (+1.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -2.9 (-4.1) | 147.0 (-0.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.0 (-3.0) | 148.2 (-1.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRIN 73 – 62 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 13-1 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#158) | 8.3 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#98) | 0.65 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#133) | 0.84 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#82) | 0.559 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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