This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Texas A&M Aggies
83 76
FINAL Conference
Oklahoma Sooners
Southeastern Conference · Reed Arena · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -4.5 Home covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money TA&M -198 / OU +164
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual TA&M +7 159 Won
Massey TA&M -7.5 (-0.5)
Massey Totals 170.9 (-11.9)
Bradley-Terry 71%
Weighted B-T 69%
Efficiency Plus ML TA&M -5.9 (+1.1) 159.1 (-0.1) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML TA&M -5.3 (+1.7) 159.5 (-0.5) 70%
Baseline ML TA&M -6.1 (+0.9) 159.8 (-0.8) 75%
Baseline Plus ML TA&M -6.2 (+0.8) 158.9 (+0.1) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 OU 8363 TA&M
Feb 22, 2026 TA&M 7571 OU
Jan 29, 2025 TA&M 7568 OU
Jan 9, 2025 TA&M 8078 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M OU
Overall 22-12 21-16
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 14-4 11-5
Away 6-5 4-7
Neutral 2-3 6-4
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 86.1 82.9
Avg Pts Against 78.9 77.4
Massey 13.4 (#38) 9.5 (#65)
Bradley-Terry 2.38 (#36) 2.11 (#43)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.74 (#49) 2.64 (#54)
RPI 0.555 (#84) 0.541 (#98)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M OU
FG% 49.0% 47.6%
3PT% 38.0% 34.6%
REB / G 39.0 38.9
OREB / G 13.0 12.4
AST / TO 1.64 1.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.8% 55.7%
TOV% 16.5% 13.6%
ORB% 36.0% 35.2%
FT Rate 30.3% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 21.2% 16.2%
DRB% 71.2% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.1% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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