Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -135 OU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +20 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -3.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.6 (-23.6) | 164.4 (-18.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.2 (-23.2) | 159.9 (-13.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.0 (-23.0) | 157.7 (-11.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -0.8 (-20.8) | 161.0 (-15.0) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 71 OU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | TA&M 83 – 76 OU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | TA&M 75 – 68 OU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | TA&M 80 – 78 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#34) | 11.8 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#39) | 1.83 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#36) | 2.46 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#63) | 0.527 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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