Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
Big 12 Conference · Hilton Coliseum · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -19.5 Away covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money ISU -2800 / OKST +1300
Model Predictions
Spread Total ISU win
Actual ISU +12 154 Won
Massey ISU -18.4 (-6.4)
Massey Totals 168.1 (-14.1)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML ISU -15.8 (-3.8) 157.5 (-3.5) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -17.2 (-5.2) 161.5 (-7.5) 89%
Baseline ML ISU -16.3 (-4.3) 157.3 (-3.3) 87%
Baseline Plus ML ISU -18.2 (-6.2) 159.8 (-5.8) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 ISU 8471 OKST
Feb 26, 2025 OKST 7468 ISU
Jan 14, 2024 ISU 6642 OKST
Feb 11, 2023 OKST 6456 ISU
Jan 21, 2023 OKST 6159 ISU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ISU OKST
Overall 29-8 20-15
Conference 12-6 6-12
Home 16-1 15-6
Away 5-5 3-7
Neutral 8-2 2-2
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 83.9
Avg Pts Against 65.6 83.2
Massey 25.2 (#3) 10.5 (#55)
Bradley-Terry 5.61 (#2) 2.89 (#26)
W. Bradley-Terry 8.77 (#1) 3.59 (#28)
RPI 0.638 (#16) 0.600 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors ISU OKST
FG% 52.3% 48.8%
3PT% 41.3% 34.6%
REB / G 37.1 40.3
OREB / G 12.5 11.1
AST / TO 1.81 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.7% 54.8%
TOV% 14.9% 16.6%
ORB% 38.2% 31.5%
FT Rate 23.8% 31.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 24.8% 16.8%
DRB% 71.4% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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