Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -2800 OKST +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -18.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -18.2 (-6.2) | 159.8 (-5.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -15.8 (-3.8) | 157.5 (-3.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -17.2 (-5.2) | 161.5 (-7.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -16.3 (-4.3) | 157.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OKST 61 – 59 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 25.2 (#3) | 10.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.61 (#2) | 2.89 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.77 (#1) | 3.59 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#16) | 0.600 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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