Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -125 ISU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -0.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -0.3 (+2.3) | 124.4 (-4.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -1.7 (+3.7) | 122.8 (-2.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -1.1 (+3.1) | 124.3 (-4.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -0.4 (+2.4) | 126.2 (-6.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#37) | 15.4 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#74) | 3.12 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#57) | 3.64 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#69) | 0.628 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 28.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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