Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -1.5 Home covered
O/U 126.5 Under
Money OKST -125 / ISU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +2 120 Won
Massey ISU -0.8 (+2.8) — —
Massey Totals — 117.4 (+2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 23% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ISU -0.4 (+2.4) 126.2 (-6.2) 48% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ISU -0.3 (+2.3) 124.4 (-4.4) 61% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -1.7 (+3.7) 122.8 (-2.8) 41% ✗
Baseline ML ISU -1.1 (+3.1) 124.3 (-4.3) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 ISU 84 – 71 OKST
Jan 10, 2026 ISU 83 – 71 OKST
Feb 26, 2025 OKST 74 – 68 ISU
Jan 14, 2024 ISU 66 – 42 OKST
Feb 11, 2023 OKST 64 – 56 ISU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST ISU
Overall 20-16 19-14
Conference 8-10 9-9
Home 12-6 13-3
Away 6-7 3-8
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.3 67.6
Avg Pts Against 65.8 62.6
Massey 10.9 (#37) 15.4 (#10)
Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#74) 3.12 (#7)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#57) 3.64 (#9)
RPI 0.567 (#69) 0.628 (#12)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST ISU
FG% 43.2% 46.2%
3PT% 32.1% 35.8%
REB / G 37.8 33.4
OREB / G 10.9 11.5
AST / TO 0.92 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 52.3%
TOV% 21.0% 18.8%
ORB% 31.8% 33.8%
FT Rate 21.2% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.0% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 28.5%
DRB% 72.5% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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