Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +475 ISU -750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -13.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -10.2 (+16.2) | 146.9 (-4.9) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -10.1 (+16.1) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -10.7 (+16.7) | 150.4 (-8.4) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -10.8 (+16.8) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OKST 61 – 59 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#108) | 19.7 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#94) | 2.96 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#90) | 3.47 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#181) | 0.610 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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