Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -1000 OKST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +24 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -19.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -17.1 (+6.9) | 143.4 (-35.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -14.0 (+10.0) | 139.8 (-31.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -16.2 (+7.8) | 141.9 (-33.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -16.7 (+7.3) | 142.1 (-34.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OKST 61 – 59 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-0 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 20.2 (#6) | 4.7 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#48) | -0.26 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#44) | 0.02 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#83) | 0.477 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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