He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Big 12 Conference · Hilton Coliseum · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Under
Money ISU -300 / OKST +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total ISU win
Actual OKST +8 120 Lost
Massey ISU -6.3 (-14.3) — —
Massey Totals — 122.4 (-2.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ISU -5.0 (-13.0) 131.8 (-11.8) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ISU -6.0 (-14.0) 130.8 (-10.8) 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -5.1 (-13.1) 133.5 (-13.5) 70% ✗
Baseline ML ISU -5.5 (-13.5) 134.2 (-14.2) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 ISU 84 – 71 OKST
Jan 10, 2026 ISU 83 – 71 OKST
Feb 26, 2025 OKST 74 – 68 ISU
Jan 14, 2024 ISU 66 – 42 OKST
Jan 21, 2023 OKST 61 – 59 ISU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ISU OKST
Overall 19-14 20-16
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 13-3 12-6
Away 3-8 6-7
Neutral 3-3 2-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.6 68.3
Avg Pts Against 62.6 65.8
Massey 14.5 (#16) 11.9 (#30)
Bradley-Terry 2.56 (#15) 1.86 (#46)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.20 (#17) 2.60 (#33)
RPI 0.600 (#25) 0.578 (#47)
Shooting & Four Factors ISU OKST
FG% 46.3% 44.0%
3PT% 35.0% 32.2%
REB / G 33.5 37.0
OREB / G 11.3 10.8
AST / TO 1.18 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 50.1%
TOV% 19.2% 20.7%
ORB% 33.7% 31.7%
FT Rate 17.9% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 43.9%
Opp TOV% 26.2% 19.6%
DRB% 72.7% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 29.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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