Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -300 OKST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -6.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -6.0 (-14.0) | 130.8 (-10.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -5.1 (-13.1) | 133.5 (-13.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -5.5 (-13.5) | 134.2 (-14.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -5.0 (-13.0) | 131.8 (-11.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OKST 61 – 59 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#16) | 11.9 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#15) | 1.86 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#17) | 2.60 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#25) | 0.578 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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