Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -155 URI +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +25 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -4.5 (-29.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -3.7 (-28.7) | 132.3 (-17.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | DAV -3.2 (-28.2) | 132.8 (-17.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | DAV -3.2 (-28.2) | 132.8 (-17.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -3.5 (-28.5) | 133.4 (-18.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | URI 92 – 90 DAV |
| Jan 10, 2024 | URI 79 – 74 DAV |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DAV 68 – 54 URI |
| Feb 12, 2022 | URI 72 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DAV 72 – 68 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#134) | 1.5 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#125) | -0.16 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#131) | 0.11 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#113) | 0.487 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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