Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Davidson Wildcats
45 – 70
FINAL Conference
Rhode Island Rams
Atlantic 10 Conference · John M. Belk Arena · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread DAV -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money DAV -155 / URI +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total DAV win
Actual URI +25 115 Lost
Massey DAV -4.5 (-29.5) — —
Massey Totals — 135.2 (-20.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DAV -3.2 (-28.2) 132.8 (-17.8) 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DAV -3.2 (-28.2) 132.8 (-17.8) 63% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DAV -3.7 (-28.7) 132.3 (-17.3) 66% ✗
Baseline ML DAV -3.5 (-28.5) 133.4 (-18.4) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 18, 2025 URI 92 – 90 DAV
Jan 10, 2024 URI 79 – 74 DAV
Mar 5, 2023 DAV 68 – 54 URI
Feb 12, 2022 URI 72 – 65 DAV
Jan 8, 2022 DAV 72 – 68 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DAV URI
Overall 20-14 16-16
Conference 10-8 7-11
Home 11-7 10-6
Away 7-5 4-7
Neutral 2-2 2-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 69.9 69.9
Avg Pts Against 68.5 68.2
Massey 2.3 (#134) 1.5 (#144)
Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#125) -0.16 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#131) 0.11 (#162)
RPI 0.535 (#113) 0.487 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors DAV URI
FG% 45.6% 45.0%
3PT% 37.2% 30.8%
REB / G 33.4 33.6
OREB / G 9.6 11.6
AST / TO 1.25 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 51.8%
TOV% 16.6% 19.6%
ORB% 28.6% 34.8%
FT Rate 22.5% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 22.6%
DRB% 70.0% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 28.6%

Game Analysis

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