Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | DAV -225 URI +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -8.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -5.8 (-10.8) | 138.1 (+14.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -7.9 (-12.9) | 138.0 (+15.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -6.4 (-11.4) | 137.8 (+15.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -6.5 (-11.5) | 139.3 (+13.7) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | URI 70 – 45 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | URI 92 – 90 DAV |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DAV 68 – 54 URI |
| Feb 12, 2022 | URI 72 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DAV 72 – 68 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#137) | -1.9 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#83) | -0.25 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#93) | -0.23 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#99) | 0.486 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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