Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +14 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -1.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.1 (-12.9) | 139.2 (-17.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.7 (-12.3) | 139.1 (-17.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.1 (-11.9) | 141.5 (-19.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.0 (-13.0) | 140.9 (-18.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | URI 70 – 45 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | URI 92 – 90 DAV |
| Jan 10, 2024 | URI 79 – 74 DAV |
| Feb 12, 2022 | URI 72 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DAV 72 – 68 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#233) | 1.1 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#256) | 0.12 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#260) | 0.45 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#269) | 0.510 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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