Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -7.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -7.0 (-3.0) | 139.4 (+0.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -7.1 (-3.1) | 130.4 (+9.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -6.8 (-2.8) | 134.9 (+5.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -6.7 (-2.7) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | URI 70 – 45 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | URI 92 – 90 DAV |
| Jan 10, 2024 | URI 79 – 74 DAV |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DAV 68 – 54 URI |
| Feb 12, 2022 | URI 72 – 65 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#42) | 6.5 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#25) | 0.65 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#41) | 1.04 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#26) | 0.564 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 42.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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