Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | URI +130 DAV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -1.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -2.7 (+9.7) | 135.9 (+1.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.6 (+8.6) | 133.1 (+3.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.8 (+8.8) | 136.5 (+0.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.9 (+8.9) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | URI 70 – 45 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | URI 92 – 90 DAV |
| Jan 10, 2024 | URI 79 – 74 DAV |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DAV 68 – 54 URI |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DAV 72 – 68 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#114) | 8.3 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#176) | 2.65 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#155) | 2.82 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.607 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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