Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | URI -130 DAV +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | URI -5.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -4.8 (-2.8) | 143.5 (+38.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -2.7 (-0.7) | 142.9 (+39.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -4.5 (-2.5) | 144.3 (+37.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -4.3 (-2.3) | 142.8 (+39.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | URI 70 – 45 DAV |
| Jan 10, 2024 | URI 79 – 74 DAV |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DAV 68 – 54 URI |
| Feb 12, 2022 | URI 72 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DAV 72 – 68 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#99) | 2.8 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#95) | 0.80 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#97) | 1.25 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#52) | 0.530 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.