Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -298 ODU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -5.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -5.8 (-4.8) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -4.5 (-3.5) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -4.7 (-3.7) | 146.2 (-7.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -5.3 (-4.3) | 148.6 (-9.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | JMU 78 – 62 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#234) | -5.7 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#203) | -1.51 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#211) | -1.95 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#185) | 0.457 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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