Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +300 JMU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -10.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -11.0 (-5.0) | 152.9 (-12.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -11.3 (-4.7) | 152.2 (-12.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -11.5 (-4.5) | 151.9 (-11.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -12.0 (-4.0) | 156.1 (-16.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#277) | 8.8 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#312) | 1.92 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#298) | 2.08 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#317) | 0.541 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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