Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +130 JMU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -4.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -1.4 (+7.6) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -1.1 (+7.9) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -1.4 (+7.6) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -1.7 (+7.3) | 147.3 (-2.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | JMU 78 – 62 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#221) | -3.6 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#299) | 0.34 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#300) | 0.29 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#249) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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