Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -650 ODU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -12.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -13.1 (+0.9) | 137.5 (-15.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -10.5 (+3.5) | 135.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -10.7 (+3.3) | 136.2 (-14.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -9.9 (+4.1) | 137.1 (-15.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | JMU 78 – 62 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -9.3 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | -1.04 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#138) | -1.33 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.447 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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