Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +225 JMU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -7.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -6.1 (-7.9) | 136.3 (-2.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -7.2 (-6.8) | 135.7 (-1.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -5.3 (-8.7) | 135.5 (-1.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -5.1 (-8.9) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | JMU 78 – 62 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#327) | 0.1 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#283) | 0.24 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#274) | 0.34 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#284) | 0.535 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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