Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -2500 ODU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -19.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -18.6 (-3.6) | 156.6 (-15.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -14.7 (+0.3) | 155.7 (-14.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -16.6 (-1.6) | 153.6 (-12.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -18.4 (-3.4) | 154.4 (-13.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | JMU 78 – 62 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 12-2 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#58) | -6.2 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#55) | -1.58 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#73) | -1.66 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#117) | 0.410 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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