The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Big Sky Conference · Viking Pavilion · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -9.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money PRST -485 / SAC +370
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRST win
Actual PRST +27 165 Won
Massey PRST -12.1 (+14.9)
Massey Totals 157.6 (+7.4)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML PRST -10.1 (+16.9) 155.0 (+10.0) 84%
Model 4 ML PRST -10.3 (+16.7) 152.4 (+12.6) 86%
Model 3 ML PRST -10.6 (+16.4) 149.1 (+15.9) 85%
Baseline ML PRST -9.9 (+17.1) 149.6 (+15.4) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 PRST 7473 SAC
Mar 4, 2025 PRST 5956 SAC
Jan 4, 2025 SAC 5653 PRST
Mar 2, 2024 SAC 7361 PRST
Feb 4, 2024 PRST 5851 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRST SAC
Overall 20-11 10-21
Conference 13-5 6-12
Home 11-3 10-4
Away 8-7 0-16
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.9 75.9
Avg Pts Against 71.2 83.6
Massey 0.9 (#151) -7.5 (#281)
Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#129) -1.95 (#319)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.71 (#129) -2.67 (#322)
RPI 0.539 (#100) 0.403 (#333)
Shooting & Four Factors PRST SAC
FG% 45.5% 38.6%
3PT% 34.9% 29.2%
REB / G 35.3 35.3
OREB / G 11.1 12.1
AST / TO 1.05 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 43.9%
TOV% 18.9% 16.8%
ORB% 30.8% 29.6%
FT Rate 24.7% 29.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 16.5%
DRB% 68.8% 66.2%
Opp FT Rate 37.0% 30.0%

Game Analysis

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