Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -485 SAC +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +27 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -12.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -10.1 (+16.9) | 155.0 (+10.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -10.3 (+16.7) | 152.4 (+12.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -10.6 (+16.4) | 149.1 (+15.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -9.9 (+17.1) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PRST 58 – 51 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 83.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | -7.5 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#129) | -1.95 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#129) | -2.67 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#100) | 0.403 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.0% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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