Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +120 PRST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -2.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -3.6 (+15.6) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -2.0 (+14.0) | 131.9 (+2.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -3.2 (+15.2) | 131.9 (+2.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -2.8 (+14.8) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PRST 58 – 51 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#322) | -4.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#319) | -0.17 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#328) | -0.41 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#331) | 0.482 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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