But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -1.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money SAC +120 / PRST -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual SAC +12 134 Won
Massey PRST -2.2 (+14.2)
Massey Totals 132.1 (+1.9)
Bradley-Terry 27%
Weighted B-T 23%
Baseline Plus ML PRST -3.6 (+15.6) 133.4 (+0.6) 39%
Model 4 ML PRST -2.0 (+14.0) 131.9 (+2.1) 39%
Model 3 ML PRST -3.2 (+15.2) 131.9 (+2.1) 35%
Baseline ML PRST -2.8 (+14.8) 132.7 (+1.3) 40%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 PRST 7473 SAC
Jan 10, 2026 PRST 9669 SAC
Mar 4, 2025 PRST 5956 SAC
Jan 4, 2025 SAC 5653 PRST
Feb 4, 2024 PRST 5851 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC PRST
Overall 10-24 17-15
Conference 4-14 8-10
Home 6-8 11-2
Away 2-13 5-11
Neutral 2-3 1-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.2 70.5
Avg Pts Against 71.3 72.7
Massey -10.0 (#322) -4.4 (#251)
Bradley-Terry -1.75 (#319) -0.17 (#192)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.33 (#328) -0.41 (#203)
RPI 0.413 (#331) 0.482 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC PRST
FG% 41.3% 40.9%
3PT% 30.3% 33.1%
REB / G 34.3 35.5
OREB / G 11.6 10.9
AST / TO 0.78 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 47.2%
TOV% 23.2% 16.2%
ORB% 35.1% 28.4%
FT Rate 22.5% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 14.7% 18.1%
DRB% 74.8% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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