What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -4.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money SAC +175 / PRST -210
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual SAC +3 109 Won
Massey PRST -2.9 (+5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 141.3 (-32.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 14% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✗
Baseline Plus ML PRST -4.6 (+7.6) 136.7 (-27.7) 36% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRST -4.0 (+7.0) 134.4 (-25.4) 34% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML PRST -4.8 (+7.8) 134.0 (-25.0) 32% ✗
Baseline ML PRST -3.5 (+6.5) 139.5 (-30.5) 34% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 PRST 74 – 73 SAC
Jan 10, 2026 PRST 96 – 69 SAC
Mar 4, 2025 PRST 59 – 56 SAC
Mar 2, 2024 SAC 73 – 61 PRST
Feb 4, 2024 PRST 58 – 51 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC PRST
Overall 7-25 19-13
Conference 3-15 11-7
Home 5-11 13-1
Away 2-13 5-10
Neutral 0-1 1-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 63.3 71.8
Avg Pts Against 73.4 70.9
Massey -11.3 (#339) -4.3 (#241)
Bradley-Terry -2.89 (#348) -0.29 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.37 (#355) -0.22 (#184)
RPI 0.359 (#356) 0.455 (#258)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC PRST
FG% 39.4% 45.5%
3PT% 30.4% 31.3%
REB / G 33.5 34.2
OREB / G 9.6 12.3
AST / TO 0.75 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 50.7%
TOV% 22.1% 19.4%
ORB% 27.3% 34.5%
FT Rate 21.1% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 19.8%
DRB% 72.2% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 28.2%

Game Analysis

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