Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -250 SAC +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +7 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -8.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -7.1 (-0.1) | 136.8 (-27.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.8 (+2.2) | 136.4 (-27.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.8 (+1.2) | 138.7 (-29.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.9 (+1.1) | 138.8 (-29.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#242) | -8.5 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#163) | -1.50 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#178) | -1.82 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.412 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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