They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Big Sky Conference · Hornet Pavilion · February 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -3.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money SAC +154 / PRST -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual PRST +1 147 Lost
Massey PRST -5.0 (+4.0)
Massey Totals 154.4 (-7.4)
Bradley-Terry 30%
Weighted B-T 25%
Baseline Plus ML PRST -4.4 (+3.4) 149.3 (-2.3) 28%
Model 4 ML PRST -4.6 (+3.6) 148.1 (-1.1) 33%
Model 3 ML PRST -4.0 (+3.0) 145.3 (+1.7) 32%
Baseline ML PRST -4.2 (+3.2) 144.7 (+2.3) 28%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 PRST 9669 SAC
Mar 4, 2025 PRST 5956 SAC
Jan 4, 2025 SAC 5653 PRST
Mar 2, 2024 SAC 7361 PRST
Feb 4, 2024 PRST 5851 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC PRST
Overall 10-21 20-11
Conference 6-12 13-5
Home 10-4 11-3
Away 0-16 8-7
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.9 73.9
Avg Pts Against 83.6 71.2
Massey -5.4 (#253) 2.6 (#125)
Bradley-Terry -0.83 (#242) 0.54 (#113)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.02 (#240) 0.65 (#115)
RPI 0.451 (#263) 0.519 (#130)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC PRST
FG% 41.7% 46.5%
3PT% 32.5% 34.2%
REB / G 33.7 35.1
OREB / G 10.5 10.6
AST / TO 1.13 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 52.3%
TOV% 15.3% 18.7%
ORB% 27.5% 31.3%
FT Rate 31.4% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.3% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 18.7%
DRB% 67.0% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 34.7%

Game Analysis

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