Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +154 PRST -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -5.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.4 (+3.4) | 149.3 (-2.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.6 (+3.6) | 148.1 (-1.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.0 (+3.0) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.2 (+3.2) | 144.7 (+2.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PRST 58 – 51 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-16 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#253) | 2.6 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#242) | 0.54 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#240) | 0.65 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#263) | 0.519 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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