Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -1200 SAC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -13.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -10.7 (-7.7) | 133.5 (-18.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -10.0 (-7.0) | 133.3 (-18.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -11.1 (-8.1) | 135.6 (-20.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -10.6 (-7.6) | 135.3 (-20.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PRST 58 – 51 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-11 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#190) | -12.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#206) | -2.56 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#185) | -3.29 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#226) | 0.380 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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