Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -155 BRY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +25 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -3.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -2.4 (+22.6) | 133.5 (-16.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -2.1 (+22.9) | 135.4 (-18.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -2.0 (+23.0) | 134.6 (-17.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -1.6 (+23.4) | 135.3 (-18.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BRY 83 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#321) | -10.6 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#333) | -2.24 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#320) | -2.93 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#318) | 0.421 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 62.1% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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