Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
UAlbany Great Danes
71 46
FINAL Conference
Bryant Bulldogs
America East Conference · Broadview Center · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UALB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money UALB -155 / BRY +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total UALB win
Actual UALB +25 117 Won
Massey UALB -3.0 (+22.0)
Massey Totals 137.9 (-20.9)
Bradley-Terry 62%
Weighted B-T 72%
Efficiency Plus ML UALB -2.1 (+22.9) 135.4 (-18.4) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML UALB -2.0 (+23.0) 134.6 (-17.6) 59%
Baseline ML UALB -1.6 (+23.4) 135.3 (-18.3) 60%
Baseline Plus ML UALB -2.4 (+22.6) 133.5 (-16.5) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 UALB 6563 BRY
Mar 12, 2025 BRY 9178 UALB
Feb 6, 2025 UALB 6863 BRY
Jan 16, 2025 BRY 8979 UALB
Mar 6, 2024 BRY 8379 UALB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UALB BRY
Overall 11-21 9-22
Conference 7-9 5-11
Home 6-5 8-5
Away 4-13 1-17
Neutral 0-3 0-0
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 68.7 63.0
Avg Pts Against 74.5 73.3
Massey -11.2 (#321) -10.6 (#316)
Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#333) -2.24 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.65 (#320) -2.93 (#331)
RPI 0.413 (#318) 0.421 (#307)
Shooting & Four Factors UALB BRY
FG% 43.4% 38.1%
3PT% 30.5% 28.5%
REB / G 31.5 32.9
OREB / G 11.3 9.5
AST / TO 1.01 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 45.2%
TOV% 18.8% 21.8%
ORB% 31.1% 26.5%
FT Rate 15.6% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.2% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 15.4%
DRB% 62.1% 66.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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